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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Mon 4 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Umea Energi Arena

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Falkenbergs FF Win

32%

Umeå FC

3.16

27%

Draw

3.70

41%

Falkenbergs FF

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Umeå FC xG

Total xG

2.67

1.44

Falkenbergs FF xG

32%
27%
41%
Umeå FCDrawFalkenbergs FF

3.16

32%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

24%

Umeå FC

4.21

29%

Falkenbergs FF

3.42

Win to Nil

8%

Umeå FC

13.31

12%

Falkenbergs FF

8.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 10.0 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.4
1 8.5 12.3 8.8 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.2 7.5 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.1 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.229
λ Away (xG) 1.438
Total xG 2.667
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.337
Umeå FC attack strength 0.709
Umeå FC defence strength 1.230
Falkenbergs FF attack strength 0.874
Falkenbergs FF defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 16