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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Orgryte IS cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Landskrona BoIS.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Orgryte IS beat Landskrona BoIS 2-0 at Gamla Ullevi, Regular Season - 25, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Orgryte IS 1.98 xG and Landskrona BoIS 0.86 xG, a combined 2.84. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Landskrona BoIS landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Orgryte IS attack 1.30 / defence 0.90 against Landskrona BoIS attack 0.83 / defence 0.98, drawn from 54/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Orgryte IS 63% | Draw 22% | Landskrona BoIS 15%, with Orgryte IS to win its most likely call at 63%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Orgryte IS 61%, Landskrona BoIS 54%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Orgryte IS's trading profile (54 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.

Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (54 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 28% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Orgryte IS 1.76 PPG, Landskrona BoIS 1.48 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Orgryte IS win broke the near-deadlock. Orgryte IS (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.19 average — tighter than their form line. Landskrona BoIS (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.30 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights