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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Landskrona BoIS and Oddevold share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Landskrona Idrottsplats, Regular Season - 29, as Landskrona BoIS and Oddevold drew 2-2 in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Landskrona BoIS 1.03 xG and Oddevold 1.27 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Landskrona BoIS beat their projection by 1.0 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Landskrona BoIS attack 0.87 / defence 1.08 against Oddevold attack 0.98 / defence 0.77, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Landskrona BoIS 29% | Draw 29% | Oddevold 41%, with Oddevold to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Landskrona BoIS 55%, Oddevold 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Landskrona BoIS's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Oddevold's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 31% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Landskrona BoIS 1.48 PPG, Oddevold 1.43 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights