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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Falkenbergs FF run riot with a 0-3 hammering of Landskrona BoIS.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Falkenbergs FF beat Landskrona BoIS 0-3 at Landskrona Idrottsplats, Regular Season - 10, in the Superettan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Landskrona BoIS 1.86 xG and Falkenbergs FF 1.34 xG, a combined 3.21. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. Landskrona BoIS fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Falkenbergs FF outscored their 1.34 projection by 1.7. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Landskrona BoIS attack 1.13 / defence 1.07 against Falkenbergs FF attack 0.98 / defence 1.14, drawn from 39/9 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Landskrona BoIS 50% | Draw 23% | Falkenbergs FF 28%, with Landskrona BoIS to win its most likely call at 50%. The actual Falkenbergs FF win had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 75% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Landskrona BoIS 50%, Falkenbergs FF 100%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Landskrona BoIS 0.50 PPG, Falkenbergs FF 0.50 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Falkenbergs FF win broke the near-deadlock. Landskrona BoIS shipped 3 against a 2.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Falkenbergs FF scored 3 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 2.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights