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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

15:30

Venue

Studenternas IP

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Malmo FF Win

30%

Sirius

3.35

24%

Draw

4.12

46%

Malmo FF

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sirius xG

Total xG

2.91

1.64

Malmo FF xG

30%
24%
46%
SiriusDrawMalmo FF

3.35

30%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

19%

Sirius

5.14

28%

Malmo FF

3.58

Win to Nil

6%

Sirius

17.24

13%

Malmo FF

7.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.9 7.3 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 6.9 11.3 9.3 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.4 7.2 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.274
λ Away (xG) 1.637
Total xG 2.911
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.352
Sirius attack strength 1.055
Sirius defence strength 1.006
Malmo FF attack strength 1.204
Malmo FF defence strength 0.821
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55