Most Likely Outcome
Mjallby AIF Win
38%
2.61
26%
3.80
35%
2.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.46
Mjallby AIF xG
Total xG
2.85
1.39
Vasteras SK FK xG
Mjallby AIFDrawVasteras SK FK
2.61
38%
Home win
3.80
26%
Draw
2.83
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.40
Clean Sheet
25%
4.02
23%
4.29
Win to Nil
10%
10.49
8%
12.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 11.8 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.456
λ Away (xG)
1.391
Total xG
2.847
League avg home goals
1.701
League avg away goals
1.438
Mjallby AIF attack strength
0.810
Mjallby AIF defence strength
0.909
Vasteras SK FK attack strength
1.065
Vasteras SK FK defence strength
1.057
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 12