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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Borås Arena

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

IF Elfsborg Win

44%

IF Elfsborg

2.27

26%

Draw

3.83

30%

Sirius

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

IF Elfsborg xG

Total xG

2.58

1.14

Sirius xG

44%
26%
30%
IF ElfsborgDrawSirius

2.27

44%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

32%

IF Elfsborg

3.13

24%

Sirius

4.23

Win to Nil

14%

IF Elfsborg

7.11

7%

Sirius

14.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.6 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 12.4 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.3 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.141
Total xG 2.584
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.170
IF Elfsborg attack strength 1.138
IF Elfsborg defence strength 0.906
Sirius attack strength 1.077
Sirius defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34