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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Borås Arena

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

IF Elfsborg Win

66%

IF Elfsborg

1.51

19%

Draw

5.34

15%

IFK Varnamo

6.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.45

IF Elfsborg xG

Total xG

3.57

1.12

IFK Varnamo xG

66%
19%
15%
IF ElfsborgDrawIFK Varnamo

1.51

66%

Home win

5.34

19%

Draw

6.56

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

33%

IF Elfsborg

3.07

9%

IFK Varnamo

11.57

Win to Nil

22%

IF Elfsborg

4.65

1%

IFK Varnamo

75.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 6.9 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.9 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 4.2 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.448
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 3.569
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.289
IF Elfsborg attack strength 1.408
IF Elfsborg defence strength 1.171
IFK Varnamo attack strength 0.743
IFK Varnamo defence strength 1.239
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48