IF Brommapojkarna 0-0 BK Hacken – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates BK Hacken at 53% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Grimsta IP plays host to IF Brommapojkarna versus BK Hacken in Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off: Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Form
IF Brommapojkarna (all games): 5W 1D 4L across 10 Allsvenskan fixtures this term — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L L W L W. Offensively they are averaging 1.90 goals per game, with 1.90 conceded. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for IF Brommapojkarna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, IF Brommapojkarna have posted 4W 2D 4L at Grimsta IP — 1.40 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
BK Hacken have collected 2.00 PPG across 10 Allsvenskan outings this season: 6W 2D 2L. Last five: D W W W W. They are scoring at 1.90 per game and conceding 0.70. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 7 clean sheets from 10 games (70%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No. This season is still relatively young for BK Hacken, so this record blends games from this season and last.
BK Hacken's form when playing away from home: 5W 3D 2L across 10 road games this term (1.80 PPG). Away from home they average 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 away clean sheets from 10 games (60%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.60 for IF Brommapojkarna, 2.00 for BK Hacken — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
H2H History
BK Hacken hold the superior head-to-head record in this fixture, claiming 5 wins from 7 meetings. The hosts have won just 1 times in that span.
Attacking output has been a hallmark of this fixture. At 4.3 goals per game across 7 meetings, the Over 2.5 has a statistically grounded case from the head-to-head record alone. The most recent clash, on 6 Apr 2026, ended 2–2 with a draw.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. BK Hacken have won 5 of 7 previous encounters, and at 4.3 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading Data
IF Brommapojkarna goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (55 games, 27 at home): they score before half-time in 59% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 96% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 73% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
BK Hacken goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (55 games, 27 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 53% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 37% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 36%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — IF Brommapojkarna 56% versus BK Hacken 53%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (IF Brommapojkarna 58% | BK Hacken 53%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects IF Brommapojkarna 0.94 xG and BK Hacken 1.62 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.886 / defence 1.000 | BK Hacken attack 1.228 / defence 0.752. League average goals — home 1.418 / away 1.319. BK Hacken's defence strength of 0.752 is below average — they are conceding at a rate that inflates the home xG figure. BK Hacken have an above-average attack strength of 1.228 — the away xG of 1.62 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 55 IF Brommapojkarna games / 55 BK Hacken games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 22% | Draw 25% | BK Hacken 53%. Fair-value odds: IF Brommapojkarna 4.55 | Draw 4.00 | BK Hacken 1.89. BK Hacken hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 47% | BTTS probability 49% | Total xG 2.56. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 47%/53% — the total xG of 2.56 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 49% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, BK Hacken are the pick at 53% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on BK Hacken if the outright odds are short.
The Poisson model projects 2.56 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 47% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence — though H2H averaging only 4.3 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 49% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: IF Brommapojkarna 60% | BK Hacken 30% BTTS from recent games.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 26 | Venue: Grimsta IP • Kick-off: Wednesday 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 22% | Draw 25% | BK Hacken 53% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 47% | BTTS 49% | xG IF Brommapojkarna 0.94 / BK Hacken 1.62 • Poisson strength factors: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.886 / def 1.000 | BK Hacken attack 1.228 / def 0.752 | league avg home 1.418 / away 1.319 • Poisson stance: BK Hacken (53%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.94
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Expected Goals
1.62
BK Hacken xG
49%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
47%
Over 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken kick off?
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken kicked off at 18:00 on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Grimsta IP.
What was the final score in IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken?
IF Brommapojkarna 0 - 0 BK Hacken.
Where is IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken being played?
The match is being played at Grimsta IP.
What competition is IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken part of?
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken is a Regular Season - 26 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken?
Our statistical model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 22% chance of winning, BK Hacken a 53% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making BK Hacken the favourite.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken?
Our model estimates a 49% probability that both IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken will score (BTTS).
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 47%.
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken?
Record (7 meetings): IF Brommapojkarna 1W | Draws 1 | BK Hacken 5W.
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken in?
IF Brommapojkarna (all comps): 5W-1D-4L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-W-L-W. BK Hacken (all comps): 6W-2D-2L in 10 | 2.00 PPG | GF 1.90 / GA 0.70 | L5 D-W-W-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates IF Brommapojkarna's attack at 0.89x the league average against BK Hacken's defence at 0.75x — combine the two and it projects 0.94 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — BK Hacken's attack (1.23x) against IF Brommapojkarna's defence (1.00x) — and the away total comes out at 1.62.
These ratings are built from 55/55 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.3% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-1 (10.9%), 0-2 (10.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
BK Hacken Win
22%
4.55
25%
4.03
53%
1.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
12.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
0 – 2
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.94
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Total xG
2.56
1.62
BK Hacken xG
4.55
22%
Home win
4.03
25%
Draw
1.88
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
49%
BTTS Yes
2.04
51%
BTTS No
1.96
Clean Sheet
20%
5.05
39%
2.57
Win to Nil
4%
23.00
21%
4.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.3%.
How many goals are IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken expected to score?
The model projects 0.94 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.62 for BK Hacken, a combined total of 2.56.
How confident is the prediction model for IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 53%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
IF Brommapojkarna's recent record stands at 18W 10D 27L from 55 games, a 1.16 PPG return, with L-L-W-L-W in the last five. The sample for IF Brommapojkarna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
BK Hacken, meanwhile, have gone 21W 17D 17L across 55 games — 1.45 PPG, with D-W-W-W-W in their last five. The sample for BK Hacken is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.16 PPG for IF Brommapojkarna against 1.45 for BK Hacken. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
At home specifically, IF Brommapojkarna have managed 8W 3D 16L from 27 games — 1.00 PPG in front of their own supporters.
BK Hacken's away record stands at 11W 8D 8L across 27 trips, a 1.52 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, BK Hacken come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game recently; BK Hacken are on 1.62 scored and 1.45 conceded.
Last 55 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
IF Brommapojkarna
Blended
BK Hacken
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken in coming into this match?
IF Brommapojkarna have gone 18W 10D 27L in their last 55 games (1.16 PPG), while BK Hacken have gone 21W 17D 17L in their last 55 (1.45 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — IF Brommapojkarna at home or BK Hacken away?
BK Hacken's away record (1.52 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — IF Brommapojkarna at home: 1.00 PPG; BK Hacken away: 1.52 PPG.
Have IF Brommapojkarna or BK Hacken been keeping clean sheets recently?
IF Brommapojkarna have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, BK Hacken in 33%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since July 2023 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. The two were last together as recently as 28 October 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Records & Recent Trends
The last 2 meetings have all been drawn — an unusually settled recent run for this fixture.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, IF Brommapojkarna have gone 1W 1D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against BK Hacken — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
1
IF Brommapojkarna
2
Draws
5
BK Hacken
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken?
From 8 meetings on record, IF Brommapojkarna have won 1, BK Hacken have won 5, and 2 have been drawn.
When did IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken last play each other?
They last met on 28 October 2026, when IF Brommapojkarna 0-0 BK Hacken.
Who has won more matches between IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken?
BK Hacken have the better head-to-head record, with 5 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
IF Brommapojkarna see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches.
BK Hacken are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — IF Brommapojkarna 56%, BK Hacken 37% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 52% (IF Brommapojkarna) and 44% (BK Hacken).
On the defensive side: BK Hacken in 41%; IF Brommapojkarna have failed to score in 30% of games; BK Hacken in 33%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = IF Brommapojkarna home games / BK Hacken away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when IF Brommapojkarna play BK Hacken?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 56% of IF Brommapojkarna's recent matches and 37% of BK Hacken's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 52% of IF Brommapojkarna's recent games and 44% of BK Hacken's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken tend to score early?
IF Brommapojkarna have had a goal before half-time in 59% of their recent matches, BK Hacken in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at IF Brommapojkarna's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 26, as IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken drew 0-0 in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 0.94 xG and BK Hacken 1.62 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. IF Brommapojkarna fell 0.9 short of their projected output. BK Hacken landed 1.6 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.89 / defence 1.00 against BK Hacken attack 1.23 / defence 0.75, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 22% | Draw 25% | BK Hacken 53%, with BK Hacken to win its most likely call at 53%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 73% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IF Brommapojkarna 58%, BK Hacken 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.
BK Hacken's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — IF Brommapojkarna 1.16 PPG, BK Hacken 1.45 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.33 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.67 average — tighter than their form line. BK Hacken (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.52 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.22 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.