🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Degerfors IF's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Stora Valla, Regular Season - 19, as Degerfors IF and BK Hacken drew 0-0 in the Allsvenskan. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Degerfors IF 0.65 xG and BK Hacken 1.46 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. BK Hacken landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Degerfors IF attack 0.53 / defence 1.30 against BK Hacken attack 0.85 / defence 0.86, drawn from 18/48 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Degerfors IF 16% | Draw 27% | BK Hacken 57%, with BK Hacken to win its most likely call at 57%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Degerfors IF 54%, BK Hacken 65%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Degerfors IF's trading profile (48 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not.

BK Hacken's trading profile (48 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Degerfors IF 1.44 PPG, BK Hacken 1.33 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Degerfors IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.39 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.39 average — tighter than their form line. BK Hacken (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.35 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.57 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights