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La Liga Predictions

Spanish league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 11 April 2026

Kick-off times in Spanish time (CET/CEST)

Free Spanish football predictions for 11 April 2026, showing only matches from La Liga, La Liga 2 (Segunda) and Copa del Rey that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

The model covers four Spanish fixtures on Saturday 11 April 2026 in one competition, led by La Liga.

The model's standout reads were Real Sociedad vs Alaves for over 2.5 goals at 68%, Real Sociedad vs Alaves for both teams to score at 64%, and Barcelona as the strongest favourite at 74% (Barcelona vs Espanyol). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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La Liga predictions

4 matches Β· Spain La Liga hub →
Real Sociedad
3 : 3 FT
Alaves
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Elche
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
Barcelona
4 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing all 4 Spanish fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Spanish Football β€” common questions

Which Spanish leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in Spain include La Liga, La Liga 2 (Segunda) and Copa del Rey; other Spanish competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 11 April 2026 the page lists La Liga.

How many Spanish matches were predicted on Saturday 11 April 2026?

four Spanish fixtures across one competition. The highest over 2.5 probability is Real Sociedad vs Alaves at 68%.

How are Spanish football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in Spanish time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in Spanish time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Madrid time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find Spanish over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including La Liga and La Liga 2 (Segunda). The "Spanish Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top Spanish fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.