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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

77%

Villarreal

1.31

14%

Draw

7.18

10%

Valladolid

10.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.82

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.74

0.92

Valladolid xG

77%
14%
VillarrealDrawValladolid

1.31

77%

Home win

7.18

14%

Draw

10.52

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

40%

Villarreal

2.51

6%

Valladolid

16.74

Win to Nil

30%

Villarreal

3.28

1%

Valladolid

176.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.7 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 9.4 8.7 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 8.9 8.2 3.8 1.2 0.3
4 6.2 5.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
5 3.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.818
λ Away (xG) 0.922
Total xG 3.740
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.160
Villarreal attack strength 1.362
Villarreal defence strength 1.109
Valladolid attack strength 0.717
Valladolid defence strength 1.487
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21