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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
77%
1.29
13%
7.63
10%
10.53
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
8.2%
Home win
2 – 0
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.01
Villarreal xG
Total xG
4.03
1.01
Valencia xG
VillarrealDrawValencia
1.29
77%
Home win
7.63
13%
Draw
10.53
10%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
57%
Over 3.5
1.75
43%
Under 3.5
2.33
38%
Over 4.5
2.63
62%
Under 4.5
1.61
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
36%
2.76
5%
20.37
Win to Nil
28%
3.57
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
3.014
λ Away (xG)
1.015
Total xG
4.029
League avg home goals
1.427
League avg away goals
1.150
Villarreal attack strength
1.467
Villarreal defence strength
1.116
Valencia attack strength
0.791
Valencia defence strength
1.439
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61