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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

52%

Villarreal

1.93

24%

Draw

4.22

25%

Real Sociedad

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.86

1.12

Real Sociedad xG

52%
24%
25%
VillarrealDrawReal Sociedad

1.93

52%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

33%

Villarreal

3.07

18%

Real Sociedad

5.67

Win to Nil

17%

Villarreal

5.93

4%

Real Sociedad

23.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.4 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.2 6.3 2.3 0.7 0.1
2 8.7 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.736
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.857
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.254
Villarreal attack strength 1.171
Villarreal defence strength 0.963
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.929
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 69