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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Villarreal cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Oviedo.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Villarreal beat Oviedo 2-0 at Estadio de la Ceramica, Regular Season - 1, in the La Liga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Villarreal 2.01 xG and Oviedo 1.04 xG, a combined 3.05. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Oviedo landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Villarreal attack 1.23 / defence 0.99 against Oviedo attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 38/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Villarreal 60% | Draw 21% | Oviedo 19%, with Villarreal to win its most likely call at 60%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 59%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 81% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights