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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

60%

Villarreal

1.67

21%

Draw

4.72

19%

Oviedo

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.05

1.04

Oviedo xG

60%
21%
19%
VillarrealDrawOviedo

1.67

60%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

35%

Villarreal

2.83

13%

Oviedo

7.46

Win to Nil

21%

Villarreal

4.73

3%

Oviedo

39.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.5 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.4 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.010
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 3.050
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.235
Villarreal attack strength 1.225
Villarreal defence strength 0.991
Oviedo attack strength 0.850
Oviedo defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0