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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de la Cerámica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

51%

Villarreal

1.95

26%

Draw

3.87

23%

Osasuna

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.45

0.93

Osasuna xG

51%
26%
23%
VillarrealDrawOsasuna

1.95

51%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

40%

Villarreal

2.52

22%

Osasuna

4.60

Win to Nil

20%

Villarreal

4.92

5%

Osasuna

20.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.0 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 13.2 12.2 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 2.451
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.176
Villarreal attack strength 1.148
Villarreal defence strength 0.970
Osasuna attack strength 0.811
Osasuna defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71