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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
60%
1.66
21%
4.73
19%
5.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
1 – 0
9.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Villarreal xG
Total xG
3.05
1.03
Leganes xG
VillarrealDrawLeganes
1.66
60%
Home win
4.73
21%
Draw
5.32
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.26
Clean Sheet
36%
2.81
13%
7.50
Win to Nil
21%
4.68
3%
39.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.015
λ Away (xG)
1.034
Total xG
3.049
League avg home goals
1.377
League avg away goals
1.175
Villarreal attack strength
1.257
Villarreal defence strength
1.047
Leganes attack strength
0.840
Leganes defence strength
1.164
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 35