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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

55%

Villarreal

1.81

23%

Draw

4.33

22%

Girona

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Villarreal xG

Total xG

2.84

1.04

Girona xG

55%
23%
22%
VillarrealDrawGirona

1.81

55%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

35%

Villarreal

2.82

17%

Girona

6.04

Win to Nil

20%

Villarreal

5.12

4%

Girona

27.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 10.9 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.798
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.198
Villarreal attack strength 1.252
Villarreal defence strength 0.898
Girona attack strength 0.965
Girona defence strength 1.081
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39