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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

73%

Villarreal

1.37

16%

Draw

6.29

11%

Elche

8.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

3 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.57

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.50

0.92

Elche xG

73%
16%
VillarrealDrawElche

1.37

73%

Home win

6.29

16%

Draw

8.89

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

40%

Villarreal

2.52

8%

Elche

13.09

Win to Nil

29%

Villarreal

3.45

1%

Elche

116.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.8 7.2 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 10.0 9.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.6 7.9 3.7 1.1 0.3
4 5.5 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
5 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.572
λ Away (xG) 0.923
Total xG 3.495
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.143
Villarreal attack strength 1.257
Villarreal defence strength 0.943
Elche attack strength 0.856
Elche defence strength 1.361
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26