🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
52%
1.94
22%
4.64
27%
3.71
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.2%
Draw
2 – 0
6.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Villarreal xG
Total xG
3.43
1.42
Atletico Madrid xG
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
1.94
52%
Home win
4.64
22%
Draw
3.71
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.91
Clean Sheet
24%
4.12
13%
7.51
Win to Nil
12%
8.00
4%
27.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.016
λ Away (xG)
1.416
Total xG
3.432
League avg home goals
1.526
League avg away goals
1.124
Villarreal attack strength
1.396
Villarreal defence strength
1.109
Atletico Madrid attack strength
1.136
Atletico Madrid defence strength
0.947
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75