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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Villarreal Win
63%
1.59
25%
3.96
12%
8.36
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.6%
Home win
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.81
Villarreal xG
Total xG
2.49
0.68
Alaves xG
VillarrealDrawAlaves
1.59
63%
Home win
3.96
25%
Draw
8.36
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.34
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
51%
1.98
16%
6.09
Win to Nil
32%
3.15
2%
50.89
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.0 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.6 | 9.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 8.2 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.806
λ Away (xG)
0.681
Total xG
2.487
League avg home goals
1.404
League avg away goals
1.125
Villarreal attack strength
1.199
Villarreal defence strength
0.872
Alaves attack strength
0.694
Alaves defence strength
1.072
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 56