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Valladolid vs Valencia – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

32%

Valladolid

3.17

27%

Draw

3.65

41%

Valencia

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Valladolid xG

Total xG

2.42

1.31

Valencia xG

32%
27%
41%
ValladolidDrawValencia

3.17

32%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

27%

Valladolid

3.70

33%

Valencia

3.03

Win to Nil

9%

Valladolid

11.73

14%

Valencia

7.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.7 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.2 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.108
λ Away (xG) 1.307
Total xG 2.415
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.189
Valladolid attack strength 0.652
Valladolid defence strength 1.410
Valencia attack strength 0.779
Valencia defence strength 1.158
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 52