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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

24%

Valladolid

4.18

26%

Draw

3.90

50%

Sevilla

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Valladolid xG

Total xG

2.59

1.58

Sevilla xG

24%
26%
50%
ValladolidDrawSevilla

4.18

24%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

21%

Valladolid

4.86

36%

Sevilla

2.74

Win to Nil

5%

Valladolid

20.32

18%

Sevilla

5.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.9 9.4 4.9 2.0 0.6
1 7.6 12.0 9.5 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 3.8 6.0 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.009
λ Away (xG) 1.582
Total xG 2.591
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.147
Valladolid attack strength 0.637
Valladolid defence strength 1.263
Sevilla attack strength 1.091
Sevilla defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61