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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

16%

Valladolid

6.23

22%

Draw

4.63

62%

Real Madrid

1.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.6%

Away win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Valladolid xG

Total xG

2.76

1.91

Real Madrid xG

16%
22%
62%
ValladolidDrawReal Madrid

6.23

16%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

1.60

62%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

15%

Valladolid

6.77

43%

Real Madrid

2.34

Win to Nil

2%

Valladolid

42.23

27%

Real Madrid

3.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 12.1 11.6 7.4 3.5 1.3
1 5.4 10.3 9.8 6.3 3.0 1.1
2 2.3 4.4 4.2 2.7 1.3 0.5
3 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.849
λ Away (xG) 1.913
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.149
Valladolid attack strength 0.702
Valladolid defence strength 1.165
Real Madrid attack strength 1.428
Real Madrid defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58