Valladolid vs Las Palmas – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Las Palmas Win
24%
4.25
25%
4.03
52%
1.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.7%
Away win
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Valladolid xG
Total xG
2.63
1.62
Las Palmas xG
ValladolidDrawLas Palmas
4.25
24%
Home win
4.03
25%
Draw
1.93
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
20%
5.06
36%
2.74
Win to Nil
5%
21.51
19%
5.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 11.7 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.008
λ Away (xG)
1.621
Total xG
2.629
League avg home goals
1.426
League avg away goals
1.153
Valladolid attack strength
0.575
Valladolid defence strength
1.430
Las Palmas attack strength
0.984
Las Palmas defence strength
1.228
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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