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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

24%

Valladolid

4.10

25%

Draw

3.97

50%

Celta Vigo

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Valladolid xG

Total xG

2.59

1.58

Celta Vigo xG

24%
25%
50%
ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo

4.10

24%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

21%

Valladolid

4.84

36%

Celta Vigo

2.76

Win to Nil

5%

Valladolid

19.83

18%

Celta Vigo

5.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.8 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
1 7.6 12.0 9.4 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 3.9 6.1 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 1.576
Total xG 2.591
League avg home goals 1.435
League avg away goals 1.124
Valladolid attack strength 0.593
Valladolid defence strength 1.397
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.004
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.193
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65