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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

7%

Valladolid

14.53

12%

Draw

8.10

81%

Barcelona

1.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 3

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.75

Valladolid xG

Total xG

3.62

2.87

Barcelona xG

12%
81%
ValladolidDrawBarcelona

14.53

7%

Home win

8.10

12%

Draw

1.24

81%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

6%

Valladolid

17.67

47%

Barcelona

2.11

Win to Nil

0%

Valladolid

38%

Barcelona

2.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 7.7 11.1 10.6 7.6 4.4
1 2.0 5.7 8.3 7.9 5.7 3.3
2 0.7 2.1 3.1 2.9 2.1 1.2
3 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3
4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.746
λ Away (xG) 2.872
Total xG 3.618
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.196
Valladolid attack strength 0.644
Valladolid defence strength 1.581
Barcelona attack strength 1.519
Barcelona defence strength 0.856
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 71