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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

73%

Valencia

1.38

16%

Draw

6.21

11%

Valladolid

8.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

3 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.53

Valencia xG

Total xG

3.44

0.91

Valladolid xG

73%
16%
ValenciaDrawValladolid

1.38

73%

Home win

6.21

16%

Draw

8.79

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

40%

Valencia

2.48

8%

Valladolid

12.53

Win to Nil

29%

Valencia

3.42

1%

Valladolid

110.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2
2 10.3 9.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.7 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
4 5.5 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
5 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.528
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.125
Valencia attack strength 0.972
Valencia defence strength 1.117
Valladolid attack strength 0.722
Valladolid defence strength 1.794
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26