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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

49%

Valencia

2.05

26%

Draw

3.88

25%

Real Sociedad

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.54

1.02

Real Sociedad xG

49%
26%
25%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad

2.05

49%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.92

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

36%

Valencia

2.78

22%

Real Sociedad

4.56

Win to Nil

18%

Valencia

5.70

6%

Real Sociedad

17.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.1 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.2 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.517
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.235
Valencia attack strength 0.991
Valencia defence strength 0.911
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.907
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.109
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38