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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

25%

Valencia

4.01

28%

Draw

3.59

47%

Real Madrid

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.58

1.53

Real Madrid xG

25%
28%
47%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid

4.01

25%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

22%

Valencia

4.61

35%

Real Madrid

2.86

Win to Nil

5%

Valencia

18.47

17%

Real Madrid

6.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 11.6 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 8.0 12.2 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.2 6.4 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.5 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.050
λ Away (xG) 1.528
Total xG 2.578
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.127
Valencia attack strength 0.913
Valencia defence strength 1.014
Real Madrid attack strength 1.338
Real Madrid defence strength 0.784
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60