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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Fri 3 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

26%

Valencia

3.86

22%

Draw

4.46

52%

Real Madrid

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Valencia xG

Total xG

3.17

1.89

Real Madrid xG

26%
22%
52%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid

3.86

26%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

15%

Valencia

6.63

28%

Real Madrid

3.61

Win to Nil

4%

Valencia

25.60

14%

Real Madrid

6.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.9 7.5 4.7 2.2 0.8
1 5.4 10.1 9.6 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.4 6.5 6.2 3.9 1.8 0.7
3 1.5 2.8 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.283
λ Away (xG) 1.892
Total xG 3.175
League avg home goals 1.429
League avg away goals 1.186
Valencia attack strength 1.052
Valencia defence strength 1.123
Real Madrid attack strength 1.422
Real Madrid defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56