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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 14 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

42%

Valencia

2.37

27%

Draw

3.74

31%

Rayo Vallecano

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.50

1.13

Rayo Vallecano xG

42%
27%
31%
ValenciaDrawRayo Vallecano

2.37

42%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

32%

Valencia

3.10

25%

Rayo Vallecano

3.93

Win to Nil

14%

Valencia

7.34

8%

Rayo Vallecano

12.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 12.7 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.7 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.369
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.501
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Valencia attack strength 0.927
Valencia defence strength 1.169
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.835
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73