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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

45%

Valencia

2.21

27%

Draw

3.66

27%

Leganes

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.36

1.00

Leganes xG

45%
27%
27%
ValenciaDrawLeganes

2.21

45%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Valencia

2.71

26%

Leganes

3.91

Win to Nil

17%

Valencia

5.99

7%

Leganes

14.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 9.4 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 12.8 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.7 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 0.996
Total xG 2.359
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.123
Valencia attack strength 1.042
Valencia defence strength 1.052
Leganes attack strength 0.844
Leganes defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22