Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

39%

Valencia

2.56

27%

Draw

3.75

34%

Girona

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.55

1.22

Girona xG

39%
27%
34%
ValenciaDrawGirona

2.56

39%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

29%

Valencia

3.40

27%

Girona

3.76

Win to Nil

12%

Valencia

8.69

9%

Girona

10.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 12.7 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.325
λ Away (xG) 1.223
Total xG 2.548
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.115
Valencia attack strength 0.977
Valencia defence strength 1.179
Girona attack strength 0.930
Girona defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70