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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

46%

Valencia

2.17

24%

Draw

4.22

30%

Atletico Madrid

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Valencia xG

Total xG

3.04

1.33

Atletico Madrid xG

46%
24%
30%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid

2.17

46%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

26%

Valencia

3.80

18%

Atletico Madrid

5.48

Win to Nil

12%

Valencia

8.23

6%

Atletico Madrid

18.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.2 10.9 7.3 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.3 6.2 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 5.3 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.701
λ Away (xG) 1.334
Total xG 3.035
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.138
Valencia attack strength 1.016
Valencia defence strength 1.147
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.022
Atletico Madrid defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71