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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

33%

Valencia

3.04

29%

Draw

3.48

38%

Atletico Madrid

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.24

1.18

Atletico Madrid xG

33%
29%
38%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.04

33%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

31%

Valencia

3.24

34%

Atletico Madrid

2.90

Win to Nil

10%

Valencia

9.87

13%

Atletico Madrid

7.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.5 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.3 13.3 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.0 7.1 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.066
λ Away (xG) 1.177
Total xG 2.243
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.142
Valencia attack strength 1.072
Valencia defence strength 0.978
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.054
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.710
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62