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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

49%

Valencia

2.05

29%

Draw

3.44

22%

Alaves

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.10

0.79

Alaves xG

49%
29%
22%
ValenciaDrawAlaves

2.05

49%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

45%

Valencia

2.20

27%

Alaves

3.71

Win to Nil

22%

Valencia

4.52

6%

Alaves

16.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 9.7 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 16.1 12.7 5.0 1.3 0.3
2 10.5 8.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.310
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.098
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.136
Valencia attack strength 0.834
Valencia defence strength 0.955
Alaves attack strength 0.726
Alaves defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64