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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

48%

Sevilla

2.07

29%

Draw

3.42

22%

Valencia

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.03

0.76

Valencia xG

48%
29%
22%
SevillaDrawValencia

2.07

48%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.62

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

47%

Sevilla

2.14

28%

Valencia

3.55

Win to Nil

23%

Sevilla

4.42

6%

Valencia

15.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 10.0 3.8 1.0 0.2
1 16.7 12.7 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 10.6 8.0 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 4.5 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.267
λ Away (xG) 0.760
Total xG 2.027
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.170
Sevilla attack strength 0.805
Sevilla defence strength 0.892
Valencia attack strength 0.728
Valencia defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56