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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Real Madrid cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Sevilla.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 0-2 at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Regular Season - 37, in the La Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Sevilla 1.09 xG and Real Madrid 1.61 xG, a combined 2.70. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Sevilla fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Sevilla attack 0.84 / defence 1.07 against Real Madrid attack 1.28 / defence 0.93, drawn from 74/74 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Sevilla 26% | Draw 25% | Real Madrid 49%, with Real Madrid to win its most likely call at 49%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Sevilla 45%, Real Madrid 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Sevilla's trading profile (74 games, 37 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Real Madrid's trading profile (74 games, 37 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 46% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Real Madrid arrived the stronger side — 2.34 PPG against 1.11. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Sevilla (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.19 scoring average — below par going forward. Real Madrid (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.97 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights