Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

26%

Sevilla

3.89

25%

Draw

4.03

49%

Real Madrid

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.70

1.61

Real Madrid xG

26%
25%
49%
SevillaDrawReal Madrid

3.89

26%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.02

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

20%

Sevilla

4.99

34%

Real Madrid

2.97

Win to Nil

5%

Sevilla

19.41

17%

Real Madrid

6.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.8 8.7 4.7 1.9 0.6
1 7.3 11.8 9.5 5.1 2.0 0.7
2 4.0 6.4 5.2 2.8 1.1 0.4
3 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.608
Total xG 2.696
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Sevilla attack strength 0.844
Sevilla defence strength 1.075
Real Madrid attack strength 1.285
Real Madrid defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74