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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

35%

Sevilla

2.85

27%

Draw

3.74

38%

Las Palmas

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.54

1.30

Las Palmas xG

35%
27%
38%
SevillaDrawLas Palmas

2.85

35%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

27%

Sevilla

3.68

29%

Las Palmas

3.46

Win to Nil

10%

Sevilla

10.47

11%

Las Palmas

9.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 10.2 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 12.7 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.240
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.543
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.184
Sevilla attack strength 0.864
Sevilla defence strength 1.157
Las Palmas attack strength 0.951
Las Palmas defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73