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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

57%

Sevilla

1.75

26%

Draw

3.83

17%

Espanyol

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.17

0.67

Espanyol xG

57%
26%
17%
SevillaDrawEspanyol

1.75

57%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.62

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

51%

Sevilla

1.96

22%

Espanyol

4.49

Win to Nil

29%

Sevilla

3.43

4%

Espanyol

26.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 7.7 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 17.1 11.5 3.9 0.9 0.1
2 12.8 8.6 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 6.4 4.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 0.674
Total xG 2.175
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.146
Sevilla attack strength 0.810
Sevilla defence strength 0.929
Espanyol attack strength 0.633
Espanyol defence strength 1.326
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20