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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

40%

Sevilla

2.47

28%

Draw

3.59

32%

Elche

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.37

1.09

Elche xG

40%
28%
32%
SevillaDrawElche

2.47

40%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

33%

Sevilla

2.99

28%

Elche

3.58

Win to Nil

14%

Sevilla

7.39

9%

Elche

11.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.2 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.1 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.275
λ Away (xG) 1.095
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.139
Sevilla attack strength 0.904
Sevilla defence strength 1.118
Elche attack strength 0.860
Elche defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3