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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 12 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

24%

Sevilla

4.21

29%

Draw

3.42

47%

Celta Vigo

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.62

1.56

Celta Vigo xG

24%
29%
47%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo

4.21

24%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

21%

Sevilla

4.78

35%

Celta Vigo

2.89

Win to Nil

5%

Sevilla

20.15

16%

Celta Vigo

6.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 11.3 8.9 4.6 1.8 0.6
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.1 6.4 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.4 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.060
λ Away (xG) 1.565
Total xG 2.625
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.115
Sevilla attack strength 0.966
Sevilla defence strength 1.256
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.118
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.774
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56