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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

31%

Sevilla

3.24

28%

Draw

3.62

42%

Atletico Madrid

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.38

1.30

Atletico Madrid xG

31%
28%
42%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.24

31%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

27%

Sevilla

3.66

34%

Atletico Madrid

2.94

Win to Nil

8%

Sevilla

11.87

14%

Atletico Madrid

7.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 12.1 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.0 13.0 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.4 7.0 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 1.9 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.078
λ Away (xG) 1.298
Total xG 2.376
League avg home goals 1.562
League avg away goals 1.125
Sevilla attack strength 0.765
Sevilla defence strength 1.167
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.990
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68