🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico Madrid Win
23%
4.41
28%
3.61
50%
2.02
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.1%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.83
Sevilla xG
Total xG
2.21
1.37
Atletico Madrid xG
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
4.41
23%
Home win
3.61
28%
Draw
2.02
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.37
58%
BTTS No
1.73
Clean Sheet
25%
3.95
44%
2.30
Win to Nil
6%
17.41
22%
4.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 15.1 | 10.4 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.831
λ Away (xG)
1.374
Total xG
2.205
League avg home goals
1.371
League avg away goals
1.223
Sevilla attack strength
0.764
Sevilla defence strength
1.019
Atletico Madrid attack strength
1.102
Atletico Madrid defence strength
0.794
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67