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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

38%

Sevilla

2.60

29%

Draw

3.49

33%

Athletic Club

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.55

1.22

Athletic Club xG

38%
29%
33%
SevillaDrawAthletic Club

2.60

38%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

30%

Sevilla

3.37

26%

Athletic Club

3.79

Win to Nil

11%

Sevilla

8.78

9%

Athletic Club

11.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.5 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 12.7 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.1 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.333
λ Away (xG) 1.216
Total xG 2.549
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.133
Sevilla attack strength 0.882
Sevilla defence strength 1.195
Athletic Club attack strength 0.898
Athletic Club defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58