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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

30%

Sevilla

3.31

26%

Draw

3.82

44%

Alaves

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.58

1.43

Alaves xG

30%
26%
44%
SevillaDrawAlaves

3.31

30%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

24%

Sevilla

4.20

32%

Alaves

3.15

Win to Nil

7%

Sevilla

13.90

14%

Alaves

7.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 10.9 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 5.0 7.1 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.147
λ Away (xG) 1.434
Total xG 2.581
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.261
Sevilla attack strength 0.806
Sevilla defence strength 1.060
Alaves attack strength 1.073
Alaves defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69