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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

13:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

32%

Real Sociedad

3.08

26%

Draw

3.79

41%

Villarreal

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.57

1.38

Villarreal xG

32%
26%
41%
Real SociedadDrawVillarreal

3.08

32%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

25%

Real Sociedad

3.97

30%

Villarreal

3.30

Win to Nil

8%

Real Sociedad

12.24

12%

Villarreal

8.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 10.5 7.2 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.1 12.6 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.4 7.5 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 1.379
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.116
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.030
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.072
Villarreal attack strength 1.154
Villarreal defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51